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Every question from the end of every unit, with hints and answers to open. After you check an answer, mark how you did, and come back to the ones you didn’t get.

55 questions

Unit 19 · Probability

Exercise 19.1

Question 1

a.

A die is rolled once.

Answer

S = {1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6}

b.

A coin is tossed twice.

Answer

Each toss gives H or T, and the order matters (H then T is not T then H):

S = {HH, HT, TH, TT}

c.

A day of the week is chosen.

Answer

S = {Sunday, Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday, Friday, Saturday}

d.

The spinner below is spun, and the color the pointer stops on is noted.

RedYellowGreenBlue
Figure 19.3 A spinner with four equal sectors: red, yellow, green and blue.
Answer

S = {red, yellow, green, blue}

Question 2

a.

An even number when a die is rolled once.

Answer

E = {2, 4, 6}

b.

Two heads when a coin is tossed twice.

Answer

E = {HH}

c.

An odd-numbered day, when the days of a week are numbered 1 to 7 and one is chosen.

Answer

E = {1, 3, 5, 7}

d.

One head and one tail when two coins are tossed together.

Answer

E = {HT, TH}: the head can be on the first coin or the second.

Question 3

3.

Find the probability of getting a prime number when a die is rolled.

Answer

S = {1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6}, n(S) = 6. The primes are E = {2, 3, 5} (1 is not prime), n(E) = 3.

P(E)=36= P(E) = \frac{3}{6} = 12 \frac{1}{2}

Question 4

4.

Two coins are tossed together. Find the probability of one head and one tail.

Answer

S = {HH, HT, TH, TT}, n(S) = 4; one head and one tail = {HT, TH}, n(E) = 2.

P(E)=24= P(E) = \frac{2}{4} = 12 \frac{1}{2}

It is not 13 \frac{1}{3} : “one of each” can happen in two ways, so it is twice as likely as two heads.

Question 5

a.

Find the probability that the family has no children.

Answer

P=990= P = \frac{9}{90} = 110 \frac{1}{10}

b.

Find the probability that the family has 2 children.

Answer

P=3690= P = \frac{36}{90} = 25 \frac{2}{5}

c.

Find the probability that the family has at least 2 children.

Answer

“At least 2” means 2 or 3 children: 36 + 30 = 66 families.

P=6690= P = \frac{66}{90} = 1115 \frac{11}{15}

Question 6

6.

Work in four groups. Each group takes a well-shuffled pack of 52 cards and counts the cards of each kind to fill these tables.

  • a.♣, ♦, ♥ and ♠ cards
  • b.aces (A), jacks (J), queens (Q) and kings (K)
  • c.red cards, black cards and face cards
  • d.From the tables, find the probability that one card drawn from the pack is:
  • i.a spade
  • ii.an ace
  • iii.a red card
  • iv.a black king
  • v.a jack or a queen
  • vi.not a king
Answer

a. The suits:

♣ ♦ ♥ ♠
13 13 13 13

b. The aces and face cards:

A J Q K
4 4 4 4

c. The colors and face cards:

Red Black Face cards
26 26 12
  • d.n(S) = 52 in each.
  • i.P(spade)=1352= P(\text{spade}) = \frac{13}{52} = 14 \frac{1}{4}
  • ii.P(ace)=452= P(\text{ace}) = \frac{4}{52} = 113 \frac{1}{13}
  • iii.P(red)=2652= P(\text{red}) = \frac{26}{52} = 12 \frac{1}{2}
  • iv.The black kings are the kings of spades and clubs: P=252= P = \frac{2}{52} = 126 \frac{1}{26}
  • v.4 jacks and 4 queens, 8 cards: P=852= P = \frac{8}{52} = 213 \frac{2}{13} . (One card can’t be a jack and a queen: that probability is 0.)
  • vi.P(not a king)=1−452=4852= P(\text{not a king}) = 1 - \frac{4}{52} = \frac{48}{52} = 1213 \frac{12}{13}

Exercise 19.2

Question 1

1.

A coin is tossed once. Show the probabilities of its events on a probability scale (0 to 1).

Answer

P(neither) = 0, P(H)=P(T)=12 P(H) = P(T) = \frac{1}{2} , P(H or T) = 1.

0neither1/2head, tail1head or tail
Figure 19.7

Question 2

a.

Find the probability of a black marble.

Answer

P(B)=310 P(B) = \frac{3}{10}

b.

Find the probability of a marble that is not black.

Answer

P(B‾)=1−310= P(\overline{B}) = 1 - \frac{3}{10} = 710 \frac{7}{10}

c.

Show the results of (a) and (b) on a probability scale.

Answer
3/10black7/10not black
Figure 19.8

Question 3

3.

In a year of 365 days, 52 days are Sundays. One day of that year is picked at random. What is the probability that it is a Sunday? And that it is not a Sunday?

Answer

n(S) = 365, n(E) = 52.

P(Sunday) = 52365 \frac{52}{365} ; P(not Sunday)=1−52365= P(\text{not Sunday}) = 1 - \frac{52}{365} = 313365 \frac{313}{365} .

(365 days are 52 weeks and 1 day, so a year has 52 or 53 Sundays, depending on the day it starts.)

Question 4

a.

What is the probability of a red card?

Answer

2652= \frac{26}{52} = 12 \frac{1}{2}

b.

What is the probability of a red or a black card?

Answer

Every card is red or black: 5252= \frac{52}{52} = 1, a certain event.

c.

Show the two probabilities on a probability scale.

Answer
1/2red1red or black
Figure 19.9

Question 5

a.

White.

Answer

No part is white: P=04= P = \frac{0}{4} = 0, impossible.

b.

Yellow.

Answer

P = 14 \frac{1}{4}

c.

Yellow or red.

Answer

P=24= P = \frac{2}{4} = 12 \frac{1}{2}

d.

Yellow, red or green.

Answer

P = 34 \frac{3}{4}

e.

Yellow, red, green or blue.

Answer

P=44= P = \frac{4}{4} = 1, certain.

f.

Show all the results above on a probability scale.

Answer

Y, R and G stand for yellow, red and green.

0white1/4yellow1/2yellow or red3/4Y, R or G1any color
Figure 19.11

Question 6

6.

A die with six faces is rolled. Show the probabilities on a probability scale.

Answer

Each face has probability 16 \frac{1}{6} . A number from 1 to 6 is certain, probability 1; a 7 is impossible, probability 0.

0seven1/6each face11 to 6
Figure 19.12

Question 7

a.

What is the probability that its number is exactly divisible by 3?

Answer

E = {3, 6, 9, 12, 15, 18, 21, 24}, n(E) = 8.

P(E)=824= P(E) = \frac{8}{24} = 13 \frac{1}{3}

b.

What is the probability that its number is even?

Answer

E = {2, 4, 6, …, 24}, 12 numbers.

P(E)=1224= P(E) = \frac{12}{24} = 12 \frac{1}{2}

Exercise 19.3

Question 1

1.

A class has 50 students, of whom 28 are girls. One student is picked at random for an essay competition. What is the probability that a girl is picked?

Answer

P=2850= P = \frac{28}{50} = 1425 \frac{14}{25}

Question 2

2.

Of the 35 students of Grade 9, 25 can speak and write English fluently. One student is picked at random for a quiz competition. What is the probability that the student picked can speak and write English fluently?

Answer

P=2535= P = \frac{25}{35} = 57 \frac{5}{7}

Question 3

a.

What is the probability that all three show heads?

Answer

Each coin shows H or T, so there are 2 × 2 × 2 = 8 equally likely outcomes. A tree lists them all:

1st coin2nd coin3rd coinOutcome1/2H1/2T1/2H1/2T1/2H1/2T1/2H1/2T1/2H1/2T1/2H1/2T1/2H1/2THHHHHTHTHHTTTHHTHTTTHTTT 1/2H1/2T1/2H1/2T1/2H1/2T1/2H1/2T1/2H1/2T1/2H1/2T1/2H1/2T
Figure 19.13

S = {HHH, HHT, HTH, HTT, THH, THT, TTH, TTT}, n(S) = 8.

All heads = {HHH}: P = 18 \frac{1}{8}

b.

What is the probability of one head and two tails?

Answer

{HTT, THT, TTH}, 3 outcomes: P = 38 \frac{3}{8}

c.

What is the probability of two heads and one tail?

Answer

{HHT, HTH, THH}, 3 outcomes: P = 38 \frac{3}{8}

d.

What is the probability that all three show tails?

Answer

{TTT}: P = 18 \frac{1}{8}

The four answers add up to 1+3+3+18=1 \frac{1 + 3 + 3 + 1}{8} = 1 . ✓

Question 4

a.

A 5.

Answer

P = 16 \frac{1}{6}

b.

An even number.

Answer

{2, 4, 6}: P=36= P = \frac{3}{6} = 12 \frac{1}{2}

c.

An odd number.

Answer

{1, 3, 5}: P=36= P = \frac{3}{6} = 12 \frac{1}{2}

Question 5

a.

A 4.

Answer

1560= \frac{15}{60} = 14 \frac{1}{4}

b.

More than 5.

Answer

Only 6 is more than 5: 460= \frac{4}{60} = 115 \frac{1}{15}

c.

Less than 3.

Answer

1 or 2: 8+960= \frac{8 + 9}{60} = 1760 \frac{17}{60}

Compare: the theoretical probabilities are 16≈0.17 \frac{1}{6} \approx 0.17 , 16 \frac{1}{6} and 26≈0.33 \frac{2}{6} \approx 0.33 ; the empirical ones, 0.25, 0.07 and 0.28, differ, as 60 rolls often do.

Question 6

6.

Of 100 babies born in a hospital, 58 were girls. Find the empirical probability that a baby born there is a boy.

Answer

Boys: 100 − 58 = 42. P(boy)=42100= P(\text{boy}) = \frac{42}{100} = 2150 \frac{21}{50} (0.42).

This is that hospital’s empirical probability. Records of millions of births give about 0.51 for a boy: 100 births are too few to show it.

Mixed exercise

Question 1

1.

Make a continuous series with classes of width 10 from these data:

50, 20, 65, 52, 41, 42, 70, 27, 59, 50, 39, 43, 33, 63, 60, 47, 44, 64, 32, 51, 57, 18, 55, 38, 54, 22, 31, 68, 26, 24, 37, 40, 66, 28, 35, 14, 43, 36, 34, 12

From the table:

  • a.draw a histogram;
  • b.draw a frequency polygon;
  • c.draw the less-than and the more-than ogives on the same graph.
Answer

The smallest value is 12 and the largest 70, so the classes run from 10–20 to 70–80 (70 goes in 70–80: a class includes its lower limit, not its upper one).

Class Frequency
10–20 3
20–30 6
30–40 9
40–50 7
50–60 8
60–70 6
70–80 1

N = 40. ✓

a. The histogram:

0246810frequency369786101020304050607080class
Figure 19.14

b. The mid-values are 15, 25, …, 75; the polygon joins (mid-value, frequency) and closes on the axis at 5 and 85.

0246810frequency051525354555657585class (mid-values)
Figure 19.15

c. The cumulative frequencies, less than each limit and that limit or more:

Limit Less than This or more
10 0 40
20 3 37
30 9 31
40 18 22
50 25 15
60 33 7
70 39 1
80 40 0
010203040cumulative frequencyless thanmore than01020304050607080class limit
Figure 19.16

Question 2

2.

Make a frequency table with classes of width 5 from these data:

45, 20, 23, 49, 47, 27, 29, 30, 32, 25, 34, 47, 45, 33, 33, 32, 37, 44, 42, 31, 42, 40, 35, 39, 26, 35, 27, 38, 34, 37

From the table:

  • a.draw a histogram;
  • b.draw a frequency polygon;
  • c.draw the less-than and the more-than ogives on the same graph.
Answer

The values run from 20 to 49:

Class Frequency
20–25 2
25–30 5
30–35 8
35–40 6
40–45 4
45–50 5

N = 30. ✓

a. The histogram:

02468frequency258645020253035404550class
Figure 19.17

b. The frequency polygon, joining (mid-value, frequency) and closing on the axis at 17.5 and 52.5:

02468frequency017.522.527.532.537.542.547.552.5class (mid-values)
Figure 19.18

c. The cumulative frequencies, less than each limit and that limit or more:

Limit Less than This or more
20 0 30
25 2 28
30 7 23
35 15 15
40 21 9
45 25 5
50 30 0
051015202530cumulative frequencyless thanmore than020253035404550class limit
Figure 19.19

Question 3

a.

Write any 5 values whose median is 15.

Answer

The median of 5 values is the 3rd in order, so put 15 in the middle, two values below it and two above. For example: 8, 11, 15, 19, 24.

b.

Write any 5 values whose mean and median are both 15.

Answer

Put 15 in the middle and pair each value below it with one the same distance above, so the sum is 5 × 15 = 75. For example: 11, 13, 15, 17, 19: the median is 15 and the mean is 755=15 \frac{75}{5} = 15 .

Question 4

a.
X 35 40 45 50 55 60 65
f 2 9 10 9 6 3 1
Answer
X f fX cf
35 2 70 2
40 9 360 11
45 10 450 21
50 9 450 30
55 6 330 36
60 3 180 39
65 1 65 40
N = 40 ∑fX=1905 \sum fX = 1905

Mean: X‾=190540= \overline{X} = \frac{1905}{40} = 47.63 (47.625).
Median: the 412= \frac{41}{2} = 20.5th item; items 12 to 21 are 45, so Md=45 M_d = 45 .
Mode: 45 has the highest frequency, 10: Mo=45 M_o = 45 .
Q₁: the 414= \frac{41}{4} = 10.25th item; items 3 to 11 are 40, so Q₁ = 40.
Q₃: the 3×414= \frac{3 \times 41}{4} = 30.75th item; the 30th is 50 and the 31st is 55, so Q₃ = 50 + 0.75 × 5 = 53.75.

b.
Age (years) 5 15 25 35 45 55
People 8 10 12 18 12 4
Answer
Age (X) f fX cf
5 8 40 8
15 10 150 18
25 12 300 30
35 18 630 48
45 12 540 60
55 4 220 64
N = 64 ∑fX=1880 \sum fX = 1880

Mean: 188064= \frac{1880}{64} = 29.38 years (29.375).
Median: the 652= \frac{65}{2} = 32.5th item; items 31 to 48 are 35: Md=35 M_d = 35 years.
Mode: 35 years (18 people).
Q₁: the 654= \frac{65}{4} = 16.25th item; items 9 to 18 are 15: Q₁ = 15 years.
Q₃: the 3×654= \frac{3 \times 65}{4} = 48.75th item; the 48th is 35 and the 49th is 45: Q₃ = 35 + 0.75 × 10 = 42.5 years.

c.
Cost (Rs) 50 60 75 85 90 92
Shops 10 4 6 8 7 5
Answer
Cost (X) f fX cf
50 10 500 10
60 4 240 14
75 6 450 20
85 8 680 28
90 7 630 35
92 5 460 40
N = 40 ∑fX=2960 \sum fX = 2960

Mean: 296040= \frac{2960}{40} = Rs 74.
Median: the 20.5th item; the 20th is 75 and the 21st is 85: Md=75+0.5×10= M_d = 75 + 0.5 \times 10 = Rs 80.
Mode: Rs 50 (10 shops).
Q₁: the 10.25th item; the 10th is 50 and the 11th is 60: Q₁ = 50 + 0.25 × 10 = Rs 52.50.
Q₃: the 30.75th item; items 29 to 35 are 90: Q₃ = Rs 90.

d.
Marks 5 10 15 20 25 30
Students 7 6 8 4 5 10
Answer
Marks (X) f fX cf
5 7 35 7
10 6 60 13
15 8 120 21
20 4 80 25
25 5 125 30
30 10 300 40
N = 40 ∑fX=720 \sum fX = 720

Mean: 72040= \frac{720}{40} = 18 marks.
Median: the 20.5th item; items 14 to 21 are 15: Md=15 M_d = 15 .
Mode: 30 (10 students).
Q₁: the 10.25th item; items 8 to 13 are 10: Q₁ = 10.
Q₃: the 30.75th item; the 30th is 25 and the 31st is 30: Q₃ = 25 + 0.75 × 5 = 28.75.

Question 5

a.

Find the arithmetic mean.

Answer
Face (X) f fX cf
1 12 12 12
2 6 12 18
3 9 27 27
4 9 36 36
5 8 40 44
6 12 72 56
N = 56 ∑fX=199 \sum fX = 199

X‾=19956= \overline{X} = \frac{199}{56} = 3.55 (3.5536). The theoretical average of a fair die is 3.5, so this is close.

b.

Find the first, second and third quartiles.

Answer

From the cf column in a:
Q₁: the 574= \frac{57}{4} = 14.25th item; items 13 to 18 are 2: Q₁ = 2.
Q₂ (the median): the 572= \frac{57}{2} = 28.5th item; items 28 to 36 are 4: Q2=Md=4 Q_2 = M_d = 4 .
Q₃: the 3×574= \frac{3 \times 57}{4} = 42.75th item; items 37 to 44 are 5: Q₃ = 5.

c.

Find the mode and the range.

Answer

1 and 6 each came up 12 times, more than any other face: the data has two modes, 1 and 6.
Range = largest − smallest = 6 − 1 = 5.

As probability: each face’s empirical probability here is between 656≈0.11 \frac{6}{56} \approx 0.11 (for 2) and 1256≈0.21 \frac{12}{56} \approx 0.21 , around 16≈0.17 \frac{1}{6} \approx 0.17 : 56 rolls are not many.